Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000088 0.000098 0.000108 0.000120 0.000133 0.000146 0.000162
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000087 0.000102 0.000119 0.000140 0.000164 0.000193
2026-02-08 0.000063 0.000078 0.000095 0.000117 0.000145 0.000178 0.000221
2026-02-15 0.000055 0.000071 0.000091 0.000117 0.000151 0.000193 0.000252
2026-02-22 0.000049 0.000066 0.000087 0.000117 0.000157 0.000210 0.000285
2026-03-01 0.000044 0.000061 0.000083 0.000115 0.000161 0.000223 0.000315
2026-03-08 0.000040 0.000057 0.000081 0.000116 0.000168 0.000241 0.000353
2026-03-15 0.000037 0.000054 0.000079 0.000116 0.000173 0.000256 0.000388
2026-03-22 0.000034 0.000051 0.000076 0.000115 0.000177 0.000270 0.000422
2026-03-29 0.000032 0.000049 0.000075 0.000117 0.000185 0.000290 0.000467
2026-04-05 0.000029 0.000047 0.000073 0.000117 0.000190 0.000305 0.000506
2026-04-12 0.000027 0.000044 0.000071 0.000117 0.000193 0.000319 0.000543
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000042 0.000069 0.000116 0.000197 0.000334 0.000586
2026-04-26 0.000024 0.000040 0.000067 0.000116 0.000202 0.000351 0.000633
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000038 0.000065 0.000114 0.000204 0.000363 0.000671
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000036 0.000063 0.000114 0.000208 0.000378 0.000717
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000035 0.000062 0.000114 0.000213 0.000396 0.000770
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000112 0.000215 0.000409 0.000815
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000059 0.000113 0.000221 0.000430 0.000877
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000031 0.000058 0.000113 0.000226 0.000448 0.000936
2026-06-14 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000112 0.000228 0.000463 0.000988
2026-06-21 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000114 0.000237 0.000490 0.001069
2026-06-28 0.000014 0.000028 0.000055 0.000114 0.000241 0.000509 0.001135